Despite an ongoing impeachment inquiry run by House Democrats, a poll released on Wednesday morning has found that a majority of Americans think President Donald Trump will win the 2020 election.
The poll, from Morning Consult and Politico, found that 56 percent of Americans expect Trump to be reelected next year. That includes 85 percent of Republicans and 51 percent of independents. About 35 percent of Democrats are of the same opinion.
“President Trump’s reelection prospects seem to be energizing voter enthusiasm across the political spectrum,” said Tyler Sinclair, the vice president of Morning Consult, according to Politico. “Our data points show that Republicans and Democrats are equally inclined to say they are motivated and likely to vote in next year’s election.”
The Morning Consult poll was carried Nov. 1 to Nov. 3 online among a national sample of 1,983 registered voters with a 2 percent margin of error.
More than eight in 10 voters told the pollster that they are motivated to vote in November 2020. About 69 percent said they are “very motivated,” it found.
ELECTION 2019 KENTUCKY GOVERNOR
Kentucky Attorney General and Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andy Beshear speaks with Maddie Jones, of West Louisville, during a campaign stop at Southern Hospitality, in Louisville, Ky. on Nov. 5, 2019. (AP Photo/Bryan Woolston)
The poll findings come after state elections on Tuesday where Republicans held onto the Kentucky legislature while losing the governor’s office. Democrats took over both houses of the Virginia legislature for the first time in decades. According to reports, Republican Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin lost narrowly to his opponent despite support from Trump and Vice President Mike Pence.
Brad Parscale, Trump’s campaign manager, said that Trump nearly got him reelected.
“President Trump’s rally helped five of six Kentucky Republicans win clear statewide victories,” Parscale said, according to Bloomberg News. “The President just about dragged Governor Matt Bevin across the finish line, helping him run stronger than expected in what turned into a very close race at the end.”
Some experts have said that Tuesday’s election results are no indicator of what’s to come in 2020.
“It’s just too far out, and we don’t know what the circumstances will be next year,” said Kyle Kondik of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, according to Bloomberg.
Kondik said the sample is too small to make an accurate prediction.
“These races tend to get a lot of attention, but I don’t think any of the states that we’re watching tonight are going to be any of the most competitive states that are going to be determining the presidency,” Kondik said.
Trump also campaigned for Mississippi Lieutenant Governor Tate Reeves, a Republican, who won the state’s governorship on Tuesday.
On Tuesday, he congratulated Kentucky Attorney General candidate Daniel Cameron on Twitter: “Great going Daniel, proud of you!”